The specter of military defeat
<p>These days, the United States is in conventional terms far and away the world's most formidable military power, and nearly all discussions of the implications of peak oil for national security and the future of war take US predominance as a given. History warns, though, that military power is not a single uncomplicated variable, and sudden shifts in military technique -- shifts that involve radical simplification as often as they involve technological progress -- have frequently brought to defeat to the theoretically stronger side. As the world stumbles toward the Peak Oil Wars, the possibility has to be taken into account that the US may face military defeat, not in spite of its military advantages but because of them. The Archdruid explains...</p>
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